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I'm Starting to Believe in Mexico After the Ecuador Win

Football
I'm Starting to Believe in Mexico After the Ecuador Win

Mexico beat Ecuador 2-0 on Tuesday night at the Azteca. The win pushed El Tri into the World Cup round of 16. It was Mexico’s first World Cup knockout victory since 1986. Somewhere in there, a lot of us quietly changed our minds. We stopped hoping. We started believing.

You know the feeling. You spend years talking yourself out of caring too much. Mexico always reaches the round of 16. Mexico always loses in the round of 16. That was the whole cursed rhythm of it. Seven tournaments in a row, one knockout exit after another. So you protect your heart and keep your expectations low.

Then Tuesday happened. Now those low expectations feel a little silly.

Y Si Si: The Phrase and Juan Gabriel Song Behind Mexico’s Belief

If you follow Mexican soccer online, you have seen three words everywhere: “y si si.” It means, loosely, “and what if yes.” It is hope with a question mark attached.

The phrase did not start with the national team. According to Milenio and TUDN, it traces to Efrain Juarez, then coach of Liga MX side Pumas. Asked about his club’s title chances during the Clausura 2026 playoffs, he replied, “Y si si? Y si Pumas si es campeon?” Fans grabbed it and never let go.

Then the edits started. Supporters stitched clips of El Tri to Juan Gabriel singing “Hasta que te conoci.” Several Mexican outlets, including El Universal and Excelsior, point to a version recorded at the Palacio de Bellas Artes. Juan Gabriel died in 2016. His voice became the soundtrack of a country daydreaming out loud.

That is the part that hits. This is not only a soccer run. It is Juan Gabriel, mariachi energy, and a whole nation deciding to feel something on purpose.

How Mexico Beat Ecuador to End a 40-Year Wait

The soccer backed up the singing. Julian Quinones opened the scoring in the 22nd minute. He cut inside and buried a shot into the top corner. The Azteca lost its mind.

Nine minutes later, Raul Jimenez made it two. He linked up with Quinones on a quick give-and-go at the edge of the box. Then he steered his finish into the top corner. Halftime arrived at 2-0, and the night was basically decided.

Quinones walked away with the Player of the Match award. A goal and an assist on the biggest stage of his career. Ecuador barely threatened after the break. Their frustration boiled over late, when Piero Hincapie was sent off in stoppage time.

Here is the context that matters. Mexico had not won a World Cup knockout game since 1986, the last time they hosted. In between, they turned the round of 16 into a national trauma. Seven tournaments straight, they walked out the same door. On Tuesday, they finally kicked it open.

They did not sneak in, either. Mexico won every group game and kept a clean sheet through the entire first round.

StageOpponentResult
Group stageSouth AfricaWin
Group stageSouth KoreaWin
Group stageCzechiaWin
Round of 32Ecuador2-0 win

Who Mexico Face Next in the World Cup Round of 16

Next comes the round of 16, and the reward is steep. Mexico play either England or DR Congo on Sunday, July 5. That match lands back at the Azteca in Mexico City, in front of the same roaring crowd. The two contenders settle their own tie first.

England would be the glamour draw and the gut check. DR Congo would be unfamiliar and dangerous in its own way. Either path gives El Tri home soil, a fresh squad, and a fan base that has fully lost its composure.

So, y si si? Y si this is the year the ceiling finally cracks? A few days ago, that felt like a fan edit talking. After Ecuador, it feels like a real question. That shift, from wishful to possible, is the whole point.

Mexico are not champions. Nobody sane is printing that yet. But they are alive, they are home, and they are dangerous. For the first time in 40 years, believing does not feel naive. It feels early.

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